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Olde Naples
Intelligence

The residential grid of the original Naples plat, Tiers 1 through 10: 835 parcels holding 775 homes and cottages, 56 vacant lots, and 4 mid-rebuild, worth $5.29 billion on the county’s TaxYear 2026 roll. Built from seven decades of Collier County deeds, the county tax roll, and MLS living areas; updated 2026-08-28. Covers the single-family grid; downtown condominiums record separately and are not included.

Platted parcels
835
775 homes, 56 vacant lots, 4 rebuilding
Qualified sales since 1976
1,833
The full deed record, not a sample
$/sqft at the 2022 top
$1,945
$1,655 so far in 2026, on true living area
Homes built 2015 or later
215
One parcel in four is new
Value sitting in the land
68%
Median lot value $3.2M
Owners homesteaded
46%
A minority: the second-home grid

Data powered by Modern Signal Advisory

1. What has the Olde Naples grid sold for?

Median sold price per square foot by year closed: recorded deed prices over MLS living area, all floors, for qualified, arm’s-length sales of improved homes. This is what the Olde Naples grid actually traded for, not what it asked.

Single-family, 1985 to 2026

Tiers 1-10 and their replats combined, n=1,012 improved sales with a matched MLS living area
What this means. $84 a foot in 1985, $785 at the 2008 top, then the shallowest bust on the coast: a 30 percent dip to $546 where the neighboring estate markets fell further. The climb resumed in 2012 and surged to $1,945 in 2022; since then the line has drifted sideways at $1,650-$1,850 for three years, 15 percent under the top. Olde Naples has always been the coast’s low-beta market, and the drift is that character showing.
For sellers: your purchase year sits somewhere on this line; pricing starts from where the line is now, and from what your lot is worth under the cottage. For buyers: this grid’s busts have historically been shallow and short; waiting for a crash here has been a losing trade for forty years.

New construction vs resale, 2012 to 2026

Homes sold within two years of completion vs everything else; recent years are thin, n shown per point
What this means. Two products share the grid. New builds exited at $2,134 a foot in 2024 and $2,900 on the 2026 exit so far, against resale cottages near $1,650. In dollar terms the gap is wider still: recent new-build exits ran a median near $11M while the whole market’s median sits near $6M. The 2025 velocity bounce came from the resale side, cottages finding their clearing price.
For sellers: the comp that matters is the one on your side of this split; a cottage priced off a new-build exit sits on the market. For buyers: the resale line is the entry into a neighborhood where the land does the appreciating.

2. How many cottages become new builds?

Block by block, the grid is trading cottages for new construction. The county record keeps score of both sides: what sold as a home, what sold as dirt, and what the rebuilt product exits for.

Qualified sales per year

Improved homes vs dirt-coded sales, 1985 to 2026
What this means. Velocity fell from 70 qualified sales in 2020 to 20 in 2023, then bounced to 42 in 2025, the first real recovery in count on the coast, with 24 through August 2026. Dirt ran 13 to 19 sales a year through the late 2010s as the conversion accelerated; the dirt bid has since thinned because the easy teardowns are gone.
For sellers: the 2025 bounce was resale cottages finding their clearing price; the market is moving again, at the market’s number. For buyers: more sellers met the market here in 2025 than anywhere else on the coast; this is where negotiation is live.

The conversion scoreboard

What the tax roll shows today
Homes built 2015 or later
215
89 of them 2020 or later
Lots sitting vacant today
56
Plus 4 parcels mid-rebuild
2025 new-build exit, median
$11.0M
Against a ~$6M market median
Land share of total value
68%
Of $5.29B. The dirt is the asset
What this means. One parcel in four now carries a 2015-or-newer home, the largest conversion count of any coastal neighborhood, and the county attributes 68 cents of every value dollar to the land: the highest land share on the coast, with the median lot alone at $3.2M. An Olde Naples cottage is a land holding with a roof, and the record prices it that way.
For sellers: your real competition is not the cottage next door; it is the 56 vacant lots and 215 already-new homes. For buyers: the future inventory is standing in plain sight as dirt and construction fences, and almost none of it is listed.

Where does your property sit in this?

The record above is the neighborhood; your home is a specific case on a specific line of it. Thirty minutes puts the two together.

Book a private consult

3. Who owns Olde Naples, and for how long?

All 835 parcels of the grid, classified from the certified tax roll by owner structure, residence, and tenure. The coast’s second-home grid, quietly institutionalizing.

Who holds it vs who is buying it

Ownership structure of the stock today vs buyers on 2023-2026 deeds
What this means. Today’s stock is 46 percent individual-held. Today’s buyers are not: 62 percent of 2023-2026 purchases closed in a trust or an LLC, up from 30 percent in the 2000s. The cottage is increasingly bought by a vehicle, which is what advised, estate-planned wealth looks like on a deed.
For sellers: expect the other side of your closing table to be a trust or LLC; it is normal here and it negotiates professionally. For buyers: structured owners are rarely in a hurry, on either side of the table.

Who actually lives here

Occupancy and geography signals across the 835 parcels; categories overlap
What this means. Homestead is a minority in the grid, the only one of the three coastal neighborhoods where that is true: this is the walk-to-everything second home, and the tax bills go to the Midwest and Northeast in force. The feeder map is the deepest measured: Illinois alone accounts for 34 owners.
For sellers: the buyer pool is genuinely national, so the marketing has to be. For buyers: absentee owners respond to timing and convenience, not just price.
IL 34 owners
OH 23
PA 20
NY 19
Canada 19
MI 17

Tenure curve

Years since last arm’s-length purchase, 724 dated parcels; 111 undated parcels hold longer still
What this means. The median owner bought 10 years ago, and more than a third of the grid has held 15-plus years. The 488 owners who bought before 2020 paid a median $1.9M against a median $4.8M county value today, roughly two and a half times their basis. Nobody sitting on that equity is forced at any price; sellers who miss their number withdraw, which is what the 2022-2024 velocity collapse was.
For sellers: deep equity means your neighbors will not undercut you; the record shows they hold instead. For buyers: tomorrow’s supply comes from long holds through estates and life changes, and the best of it is never listed. Relationships reach it first.

4. Who buys Olde Naples, and when?

When the Olde Naples grid actually closes, and who has been on the buying side of the deed, era by era.

When the neighborhood closes

Closings by month of recorded deed, all 1,833 qualified sales 1976 to 2026
What this means. 43 percent of the record closes February through May, with May the single biggest month: between Aqualane’s April peak and Port Royal’s June, which fits the price point between them. Closings back-date to contracts written in season; the early-fall trough is when serious sellers get ready and serious buyers get positioned.
For sellers: the launch window that meets the most buyers opens around the holidays, not in spring. For buyers: September and October are when the thin market is thinnest, and when patience buys best.

Who has been buying

Buyer profile on qualified deeds, by era
What this means. For thirty years the out-of-state share of buyers held near 30 percent. In 2023-2026 it jumped to 44: the sharpest demand-geography shift measured on the coast. Structure moved with it: trust purchases rose from 11 percent of deeds in the 2000s to 34 percent since 2023, and the individual Florida household is now barely a third of the buy side.
For sellers: your likely buyer is out-of-state wealth buying through a vehicle; the marketing that reaches them is national, not local. For buyers: you are competing with a wave that just arrived; hesitation is expensive here right now.

Olde Naples, on the record

Questions about the record

What this study is, where the numbers come from, and how to read them against your own parcel.

What is Olde Naples Intelligence?

A deed-record study of the residential grid of the original Naples plat, Tiers 1 through 10: 835 parcels holding 775 homes and cottages, 56 vacant lots and 4 mid-rebuild, worth $5.29 billion on the county’s TaxYear 2026 roll. It reads seven decades of recorded deeds and the county tax roll in four parts: four decades of price cycles, the cottage conversion, who owns Olde Naples, and season and the buyer. It is built from the full record, 1,833 qualified sales since 1976, not a sample, and was updated 2026-08-28.

Where does the data come from, and does it include the downtown condos?

Collier County Property Appraiser certified tax roll and recorded deed records, public record, deeds through August 2026, qualified arm’s-length sales only. Price per square foot uses MLS living areas, all floors, joined to the deed record; unmatched sales are excluded from the per-foot medians only. It covers the single-family grid of the recorded Naples Plan Tiers 1 through 10. Downtown condominiums and the 5th Avenue South commercial rows record separately and are not included. Recent months understate final counts while qualification coding catches up. It is informational, not an appraisal.

What does Olde Naples sell for per square foot?

On true living area, $84 a foot in 1985, $785 at the 2008 top, then the shallowest bust on the coast, a 30 percent dip to $546 where the neighboring estate markets fell further. The climb resumed in 2012 and surged to $1,945 in 2022; since then the line has drifted sideways between $1,650 and $1,850, reading $1,655 so far in 2026, about 15 percent under the top. Two products share the grid: new builds exited at $2,134 a foot in 2024 and $2,900 on the 2026 exit so far, against resale cottages near $1,650. Olde Naples has always been the coast’s low-beta market, and the drift is that character showing.

Why is land such a large share of an Olde Naples home’s value?

The county attributes 68 cents of every value dollar to the land, the highest land share on the coast, with the median lot alone at $3.2M. One parcel in four now carries a home built in 2015 or later, 89 of them since 2020, the largest conversion count of any coastal neighborhood, with 56 lots vacant and 4 mid-rebuild. Recent new-build exits ran a median near $11M while the whole market’s median sits near $6M. An Olde Naples cottage is a land holding with a roof, and the record prices it that way.

Who owns Olde Naples?

Today’s stock is 46 percent individual-held, but today’s buyers are not: 62 percent of 2023 to 2026 purchases closed in a trust or an LLC, up from 30 percent in the 2000s. Homestead is a minority in the grid, the only one of the three coastal neighborhoods where that is true. This is the walk-to-everything second home, and the tax bills go to the Midwest and Northeast in force, with Illinois alone accounting for 34 owners. The median owner bought 10 years ago, and the 488 owners who bought before 2020 paid a median $1.9M against a median $4.8M county value today.

How many Olde Naples homes sell in a year?

Velocity fell from 70 qualified sales in 2020 to 20 in 2023, then bounced to 42 in 2025, the first real recovery in count on the coast, with 24 through August 2026. The 2025 bounce came from the resale side, cottages finding their clearing price. Dirt ran 13 to 19 sales a year through the late 2010s as the conversion accelerated, and the dirt bid has since thinned because the easy teardowns are gone. Owners sitting on two and a half times their basis are not forced at any price; sellers who miss their number withdraw, which is what the 2022 to 2024 slowdown was.

When does Olde Naples sell, and who is buying?

43 percent of the record closes February through May, with May the single biggest month, between Aqualane Shores’ April peak and Port Royal’s June. Closings back-date to contracts written in season, so the launch window that meets the most buyers opens around the holidays, and September and October are when the thin market is thinnest. For thirty years the out-of-state share of buyers held near 30 percent; in 2023 to 2026 it jumped to 44, the sharpest demand-geography shift measured on the coast. Trust purchases rose from 11 percent of deeds in the 2000s to 34 percent since 2023, and the individual Florida household is now barely a third of the buy side.

What happens when I book a private consult?

A conversation with us about your Olde Naples position against this record: where the lot and the cottage or home sit on the per-foot curve, what the conversion exit means for the parcel, and whether the moment is now or a season from now, as an owner or as a buyer. There is no obligation. Use the Book a private consult button below to pick a time.

Talk to the Knox Brothers

Sellers get a pricing read against the neighborhood’s own deed record. Buyers get the openings the record shows.

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The Knox Brothers · Compass · Naples, Florida
Sources: Collier County Property Appraiser certified tax roll and recorded deed records (public record, deeds through August 2026; recent months understate final counts as qualification coding lags recording). Qualified, arm’s-length sales only. Price-per-square-foot figures use MLS living areas (all floors) joined to the deed record; unmatched sales are excluded from per-foot medians only. Covers the single-family grid of the recorded Naples Plan Tiers 1-10; downtown condominiums and the 5th Avenue South commercial rows record separately and are not included. Informational only, not an appraisal.