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Aqualane Shores
Intelligence

354 platted parcels on the canals between Old Naples and Port Royal: 325 single-family homes, 19 vacant lots, and 10 parcels mid-rebuild, worth $2.53 billion on the county's new TaxYear 2026 roll. Built from six decades of Collier County deeds, the county tax roll, and MLS living areas; updated 2026-08-28.

Platted parcels
354
325 homes, 19 vacant lots, 10 rebuilding
Qualified sales since 1975
935
The full deed record, not a sample
$/sqft at the 2023 top
$2,343
$1,811 so far in 2026, on true living area
Homes built 2015 or later
92
One parcel in four is new
Value sitting in the land
71%
Median lot value $5.05M on the 2026 roll
Owners homesteaded
57%
A primary-home community

Data powered by Modern Signal Advisory

1. What has Aqualane Shores sold for?

Median sold price per square foot by year closed: recorded deed prices over MLS living area, all floors, for qualified, arm’s-length sales of improved homes. This is what Aqualane Shores actually traded for, not what it asked.

Single-family, 1984 to 2026

All seven platted units combined, n=651 improved sales with a matched MLS living area
What this means. $54 a foot in 1984, $941 at the 2006 top, $625 at the 2010 bottom, then an almost unbroken climb to $2,343 at the 2023 top, with 2026 reading $1,811. The line has eased about a quarter from the peak while the 2026 median sale price set a record at $10.05M. Both are true: this line blends two different products, and which one trades in a given year moves it more than the market does.
For sellers: your purchase year sits somewhere on this line; pricing starts from where the line is now, and from what your land is worth under the house. For buyers: the record price and the easing per-foot line are the same fact seen from two sides: the split below is the honest read.

New construction vs resale, 2012 to 2026

Homes sold within two years of completion vs everything else; recent years are thin, n shown per point
What this means. Two markets wear one name. In 2025, new builds exited at a median $15.6M and $2,364 a foot; resale product cleared at $5.25M and $1,363. The gap has existed since roughly 2018 and went extreme after 2023, and it is why the combined line above can ease while record prices print.
For sellers: the comp that matters is the one on your side of this split; a resale priced off a new-build exit sits on the market. For buyers: the resale line is the value entry into a neighborhood where the land does the appreciating.

2. How fast is Aqualane Shores rebuilding?

Aqualane Shores does not grow; it rebuilds. The county record keeps score of both sides of that trade: what sold as a home, what sold as dirt, and what the rebuilt product exits for.

Qualified sales per year

Improved homes vs dirt-coded sales, 1984 to 2026
What this means. Velocity halved after the surge: 44 qualified sales in 2021, then 14, 11, 12, 20, and 14 through August 2026. That is about 4 percent annual turnover against 354 doors, where the long-run record runs closer to 6. The dirt bid held steadier than the house bid the whole way: 2 to 5 vacant-coded sales nearly every year since 2015, with the 2021 spike at 10.
For sellers: thin volume cuts both ways; there is little competition, and little forgiveness for a wrong price. For buyers: the steadiest bid in the neighborhood for a decade has been for the land itself.

The rebuild scoreboard

What the tax roll shows today
Homes built 2015 or later
92
52 of them 2020 or later
Lots vacant or rebuilding
29
19 vacant, 10 mid-rebuild
Purchases that were dirt
1 in 5
Of qualified deeds since 2020
Land share of total value
71%
Of $2.53B. The dirt is the asset
What this means. One parcel in four now carries a 2015-or-newer home, and the cycle is verifiable end to end on a single lot: 255 21st Ave S traded at $2.8M as a 2020 teardown and exited at $12.0M as a 2026 new build, both legs on the recorded deed. With the county's new TaxYear 2026 roll attributing 71 cents of every value dollar to land, an Aqualane home is priced from the lot up, not the roof down.
For sellers: your real competition is not the house next door; it is the 29 lots that will exit as $15M-plus new builds. For buyers: the future inventory is standing in plain sight as dirt and construction fences, and almost none of it is listed.

3. Who owns Aqualane Shores, and how long?

All 354 parcels, classified from the certified tax roll by owner structure, residence, and tenure. A primary-home neighborhood that is quietly institutionalizing.

Who holds it vs who is buying it

Ownership structure of the stock today vs buyers on 2023-2026 deeds
What this means. Today’s stock is 48 percent individual-held. Today’s buyers are not: two-thirds of 2023-2026 purchases closed in a trust or an LLC. The house is increasingly bought by a vehicle, which is what advised, estate-planned wealth looks like on a deed.
For sellers: expect the other side of your closing table to be a trust or LLC; it is normal here and it negotiates professionally. For buyers: structured owners are rarely in a hurry, on either side of the table.

Who actually lives here

Occupancy and geography signals across the 354 parcels; categories overlap
What this means. Unlike the beachfront second-home markets, Aqualane is majority homesteaded and nearly three-quarters Florida-mailed: people live here. The feeder map is shallow and diverse rather than dominated by one metro, and the out-of-state share of owners is rising as the buy side migrates: 46 percent of 2023-2026 grantees mailed from outside Florida.
For sellers: the buyer pool is increasingly national, so the marketing has to be. For buyers: you are competing with households, not flippers; homes here are held, not traded.
IL 12 owners
MI 9
Canada 9
MA 9
PA 8
MO 7

Tenure curve

Years since last arm’s-length purchase, 324 dated parcels; 30 undated parcels hold longer still
What this means. The median owner bought 10 years ago, and a third of the neighborhood has held 15-plus years. The 203 owners who bought before 2020 paid a median $2.5M against a median $6.8M county value today, roughly three times their basis. Nobody sitting on that equity is forced at any price, which is exactly what the velocity slowdown looks like: sellers who miss their number simply withdraw.
For sellers: deep equity means your neighbors will not undercut you; the record shows they hold instead. For buyers: tomorrow’s supply comes from long holds through estates and life changes, and the best of it is never listed. Relationships reach it first.

Where does your property sit in this?

The record above is the neighborhood; your home is a specific case on a specific line of it. Thirty minutes puts the two together.

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4. Who buys Aqualane Shores, and when?

When Aqualane Shores actually closes, and who has been on the buying side of the deed, era by era.

When the neighborhood closes

Closings by month of recorded deed, all 935 qualified sales 1975 to 2026
What this means. 42 percent of the record closes February through May, with April the single biggest month. Closings back-date to contracts written in the December-to-March season; late summer is the trough. The fall is when serious sellers get ready and serious buyers get positioned.
For sellers: the launch window that meets the most buyers opens around the holidays, not in spring. For buyers: August through October is when the thin market is thinnest, and when patience buys best.

Who has been buying

Buyer profile on qualified deeds, by era
What this means. The buyer is getting more structured and more distant. Trust purchases rose from 10 percent of deeds in the 2000s to 32 percent since 2023; LLC purchases peaked at 43 percent in the 2020-2022 surge and still run a third; out-of-state buyers rose from 35 percent to 46 percent. The individual Florida household that built this neighborhood is now one buyer in three.
For sellers: your likely buyer is advised wealth buying through a vehicle, often building rather than moving in. For buyers: you are competing with capital that moves deliberately; preparation beats speed.

Aqualane Shores, on the record

Questions about the record

What this study is, where the numbers come from, and how to read them against your own parcel.

What is Aqualane Shores Intelligence?

A deed-record study of Aqualane Shores, all 354 platted parcels on the canals between Old Naples and Port Royal: 325 single-family homes, 19 vacant lots and 10 parcels mid-rebuild, worth $2.53 billion on the county’s TaxYear 2026 roll. It reads six decades of recorded deeds and the county tax roll in four parts: four decades of price cycles, the teardown engine, who owns Aqualane Shores, and season and the buyer. It is built from the full record, 935 qualified sales since 1975, not a sample, and was updated 2026-08-28.

Where does the data come from?

Collier County public records, 1975 to present, independently compiled and verified. Price per square foot is computed on MLS living areas rather than county square footage, because the county’s base area is the first-floor footprint on two-story homes and would overstate the per-foot figure. Figures are current as of August 2026; the most recent months are still recording and read low until final. It is informational, not an appraisal.

What does Aqualane Shores sell for per square foot?

On true living area, the combined line ran $54 a foot in 1984, $941 at the 2006 top, $625 at the 2010 bottom, then climbed almost unbroken to $2,343 at the 2023 top. It reads $1,811 so far in 2026, about a quarter off the peak, in the same year the median sale price set a record at $10.05M. Both are true because the line blends two products: in 2025 new construction exited at $2,364 a foot while resale traded at $1,363, and which one trades in a given year moves the line more than the market does.

Why is land such a large share of an Aqualane Shores home’s value?

The county’s TaxYear 2026 roll attributes 71 cents of every value dollar to the land, with the median lot at $5.05M. One parcel in four now carries a home built in 2015 or later, 52 of them since 2020, with 19 lots vacant and 10 mid-rebuild. The cycle is verifiable end to end on a single lot: 255 21st Ave S traded at $2.8M as a 2020 teardown and exited at $12.0M as a 2026 new build, both legs on the recorded deed. An Aqualane home is priced from the lot up, not the roof down.

Who owns Aqualane Shores?

Today’s stock is 48 percent individual-held, but today’s buyers are not: two-thirds of 2023 to 2026 purchases closed in a trust or an LLC. Trust purchases rose from 10 percent of deeds in the 2000s to 32 percent since 2023, LLC purchases still run a third, and out-of-state buyers rose from 35 percent to 46 percent. It remains a primary-home neighborhood, majority homesteaded and nearly three-quarters Florida-mailed. The median owner bought 10 years ago, and the 203 owners who bought before 2020 paid a median $2.5M against a median $6.8M county value today.

How many Aqualane Shores homes sell in a year?

Velocity halved after the surge: 44 qualified sales in 2021, then 14, 11, 12, 20 and 14 through August 2026. That is about 4 percent annual turnover against 354 doors, where the long-run record runs closer to 6. The dirt bid held steadier than the house bid the whole way, with two to five vacant-lot sales nearly every year since 2015. Owners sitting on roughly three times their basis are not forced at any price; sellers who miss their number simply withdraw.

When does Aqualane Shores sell?

42 percent of the record closes February through May, with April the single biggest month. Closings back-date to contracts written in the December-to-March season, so the launch window that meets the most buyers opens around the holidays, not in spring. Late summer is the trough: August through October is when the thin market is thinnest, and when patience buys best.

What happens when I book a private consult?

A conversation with us about your Aqualane Shores position against this record: where the lot and the home sit on the per-foot curve, what the teardown exit means for the parcel, and whether the moment is now or a season from now, as an owner or as a buyer. There is no obligation. Use the Book a private consult button below to pick a time.

Talk to the Knox Brothers

Sellers get a pricing read against the neighborhood’s own deed record. Buyers get the openings the record shows.

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The Knox Brothers · Compass · Naples, Florida
Sources: Collier County public records, 1975 to present, independently compiled and verified, with price-per-square-foot figures computed on MLS living areas. Figures current as of August 2026; the most recent months are still recording and will read low until final. Informational only, not an appraisal.