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Quail Creek
Intelligence

One gate on Valewood Drive, six recorded plats, 295 residential parcels: 287 estate homes on lots that run three-quarters of an acre to an acre and more, and seven lots still waiting for a house. Every number below comes from the community’s own recorded deeds, the Collier County tax roll, and MLS living areas; deeds recorded through 2026-08-03, built 2026-09-11.

Residences behind the gate
295
287 estate homes, 7 lots, 1 other residential parcel
Qualified sales since 1983
842
The community’s entire deed record
$/sqft, 2026 so far
$598
7% off the 2023 top, 133% above 2020
Median sale, 2026 so far
$2.78M
One percent under the 2023 top, double 2020
Homesteaded
72%
Nine in ten tax bills go to a Florida address
Titles held in a trust
31%
And 31% of buyers since 2023 bought that way

Data powered by Modern Signal Advisory

1. What has Quail Creek sold for, by year?

Median sold price per square foot and median sale price by year closed: recorded deed prices, MLS living area (all floors) as the per-foot denominator, qualified arm’s-length sales of improved homes only. Hover any point for the figure and the number of sales behind it.

Per square foot, 1997 to 2026

287 estate homes on six plats, n=493 improved sales since 1997 with a matched MLS living area (2008 is a thin year with two sales; 2026 runs through July)
What this means. Verdict: per foot, the surge topped in 2023, eased, and is climbing back. The line ran $140 in 1997, $329 at the 2006 top, and $187 at the 2012 bottom, a 43 percent bust, then spent eight years between $200 and $260. The surge took it to $365 in 2021, $541 in 2022 and $640 in 2023 on 15 sales. It gave back 17 percent to $533 in 2024, held at $538 in 2025 on 23 sales, and reads $598 through July 2026 on 13, seven percent under the top and 133 percent above 2020.
Leverage. The 2024 give-back is on the record and so is the 2026 recovery. If you own here, price against $538 to $598 a foot, the last two years, not against the $640 of 2023; if you are buying, the market has already reset once from its top and the current line is a recovery on thirteen sales, which is a number to watch rather than to chase.

Median sale price, 1985 to 2026

The whole record, n=638 improved sales since 1985 (1986 and 2008 are thin years with two sales each); the price line carries size, the per-foot line does not
What this means. Verdict: by price, the line doubled between 2020 and 2023 and has held there. The median sale ran $225,000 at the 1985 sellout, $885,000 in 2004, $1.53M at the 2006 top and $745,000 at the 2012 bottom, sat between $850,000 and $1.1M until 2019, then printed $1.34M, $1.48M, $2.0M and $2.80M in 2023. Since the top: $2.43M, $2.64M and $2.78M through July 2026, one percent under 2023. The price line held while the per-foot line eased because the homes that traded in 2024 and 2025 were larger.
Leverage. Two lines, one market: the price line says plateau, the per-foot line says a reset and a recovery. If you own a larger house, the price line is your comp set; if you own a smaller one, the per-foot line is, and the two disagree by about 15 percent over the last two years.

The 1990s house vs the 1980s house, per foot, 2012 to 2026

Homes built 1990 or later vs the 1982 to 1989 originals, median sold price per square foot by year closed; thin years on both sides (three to eight sales), n on hover
What this means. Verdict: the newer house sells for more money, not for more per foot. Since January 2025 the 1990s-or-later house has cleared a median $3.03M against $2.34M for the 1980s original, a 29 percent premium by price, but per foot the two are $573 and $562, a difference of two percent. The premium is square footage: the newer house that traded had a median 4,925 square feet of living area against 3,978 for the original. Year by year the two per-foot lines have traded places since 2012, the originals ahead in 2018, 2019, 2022 and 2023, the newer stock ahead in 2024 and so far in 2026, on single-digit sales counts each side.
Leverage. If you own an original 1980s house, the record says a buyer pays the same rate per foot for yours as for the 1990s house next door; what you are missing is size, not finish level, and that is the renovation case in one number. If you are buying, the 1980s house at $2.0M to $2.6M is the community’s entry at the same per-foot rate as everything else, and the acre under it is what the next buyer pays for.

2. How often does Quail Creek trade?

How many homes change hands in a year, how many of them clear $2M and $3M now, and what the six recorded plats and the tax roll say about the land under each house.

Qualified sales per year

Whole community, improved homes and vacant lots, 1985 to 2026 (2026 through July, pending the county’s qualification coding)
What this means. Verdict: this is a working market, not a scarcity market. The build-out years cleared 39 to 51 deeds a year, most of them lots; since the community filled in, improved homes have traded 13 to 27 times a year, with 27 in 2021, 24 in 2022, a slowdown to 16 and 17 in 2023 and 2024 while the price discovered its new level, and 24 in 2025, the busiest year since the surge. Against 295 parcels, 2025 turned over about one home in twelve, roughly twice the pace of the bundled-golf communities to the south. Vacant-lot sales have been one to three a year since 2022; seven lots remain.
Leverage. Twenty-four sales in 2025 and 13 through July 2026 means a buyer here has a real set of recent closings to argue from, and a seller has real competition on the same weekend. If you are selling, the pricing conversation runs on the last twelve months of deeds, not on one neighbor’s number; if you are buying, in a community trading two dozen times a year, the right house shows up within a season.

The $2M and $3M closings, by year

Improved sales recorded at $2M or more, and the share of those at $3M or more, 2018 to 2026
What this means. Verdict: the $2M sale went from an exception to the norm in three years, and the $3M sale is where the action moved in 2025. One home cleared $2M in 2018 and three in 2020; then 6, 12, 13, 9, 17 and 12 through July 2026. The $3M closing arrived in 2022 with a single sale, then 5, 3, 9 in 2025, and 3 so far this year; the top prints since January 2025 are $4.2M, $4.25M and $5.05M, the last of them the only home built in the 2020s to have traded, at $932 a foot.
Leverage. Seventeen of the 23 improved sales in 2025 cleared $2M and nine cleared $3M. If you own a home you paid under $1M for, the record shows what the neighbors’ houses are actually closing at, not what they are asking; if you are buying, the $3M tier is where the renovated and rebuilt homes trade, and the record is thin enough there that one closing moves the median.

Six plats behind one gate

Median county just value by recorded plat, 2026 roll (assessed, not market; the spread is the point, not the level)
What this means. Verdict: Quail Creek is closer to one price than most gated communities, with one exception. Units 1, 2 and 4 sit within a hundred thousand dollars of each other on the roll, $1.6M to $1.7M median assessed; Unit 3 runs a little higher at $1.87M; and Block Z, sixteen homes on lots that run a full acre, sits apart at $2.66M with the highest homestead share in the community. The 1980s originals and the handful of 2020s rebuilds share the same streets on every plat.
Leverage. If you own on Block Z, price against Block Z; everywhere else the community line is a fair starting point and the house, not the plat, makes the difference. If you are buying, the same gate and the same optional club come at one entry point on four of the six plats.

The vintage premium and the equity floor

Sales since January 2025 by the age of the house that traded, per foot on MLS living area, and what long-tenure owners paid vs what the county says today
Built 1990 or later, sold since 2025
$573
Per foot, n=20, median 4,925 sqft at $3.03M
Built 1982 to 1989, sold since 2025
$562
Per foot, n=16, median 3,978 sqft at $2.34M; the per-foot gap is two percent
Homes built since 2015
11
6 of them since 2020; 7 lots still open
Pre-2020 owner basis
$862K
Median paid by 165 owners, vs $1.65M assessed today
Land share of assessed value
55%
Median land assessment $1.0M on a 0.77-acre lot
Homes held 15+ years
32%
Median tenure 8.3 years; one in four held 20+
What this means. Verdict: the lot is most of the price, and the house on it decides the rest. The county assigns 55 percent of value to land, with a median land assessment of about $1.0M on a lot that runs three-quarters of an acre, and 162 of the 287 homes were built in the 1980s. Only eleven carry a structure built since 2015, so replacement happens one house at a time. The 165 owners who bought before 2020 paid a median $862,000 for homes the county now values at $1.65M, about half of today’s assessed dollar, and the market pays for size rather than vintage: $573 a foot for a 1990-or-later home against $562 for a 1980s one since January 2025, a $3.03M median against $2.34M because the newer house is a thousand square feet larger.
Leverage. If you own an original house, the dirt is most of what a buyer is paying for and the rate per foot is the same as the newer house next door; what the record pays extra for is square footage, so price the lot, the bones and the size, not the finishes. If you are buying, the seller across the table paid a fraction of today’s number and is not forced; win on certainty and terms, and buy the 1980s house for the acre under it.

Where does your home sit in this?

The record above is the community; your home, original or rebuilt, is a specific case on a specific line of it. Thirty minutes puts the two together.

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3. Who owns Quail Creek, and for how long?

All 295 residential parcels, classified from the certified tax roll by owner structure, residence, and tenure. The most local owner base of any Naples community we have measured, and one that is moving into trusts.

Ownership structure

Individual vs trust vs entity share: every owner today, and the buyers on the 2023 to 2026 deeds
What this means. Verdict: the buyer replacing the seller is structured the same way, and both are moving toward trusts. Trusts hold 31 percent of the 295 parcels today and took 31 percent of the 70 purchases from 2023 to 2026; individuals hold 64 percent and bought 60 percent; LLCs and other entities are 5 percent of the stock and reached 9 percent of recent deeds, six sales, the first era they have cleared five percent. An estate-planning market, not an investor one.
Leverage. Recent buyers mirror existing owners almost line for line on trusts, 31 percent against 31. If you are selling and wondering who moves in behind you, that is a stability argument the record shows rather than asserts; if you are buying, you are buying from families and their estate plans, and the trustee’s timeline is the one to read.

Who actually lives here

Homestead, absentee, and out-of-state share of all 295 parcels
What this means. Verdict: this is a lived-in community, more so than any coastal or bundled-golf community on the record. 72.2 percent of parcels carry a homestead exemption (the owner’s primary Florida residence), nine in ten tax bills go to a Florida address, 13.2 percent of owners are absentee (mail sent somewhere other than the property), and only 7.8 percent, 23 parcels, are mailed out of state. What out-of-state ownership exists is scattered: Wisconsin leads with five, Illinois has three, and no other state holds more than two. Seven owners take their mail in Canada, five of them in Ontario.
Leverage. Only 23 parcels in the whole community are mailed out of state. If you are selling, the likely buyer already lives in Naples or has decided to, so relocation, school and estate stories carry more weight here than second-home pitches; if you are buying, you are joining neighbors who live here year-round, and the community trades on their calendar, not a season’s.
WI 5 owners
IL 3
IA 2
NY 2
UT 2
NH 2
MA 2
Canada 7

Tenure curve

Years since last arm’s-length purchase, 281 dated parcels
What this means. Verdict: this community turns over faster than its neighbors, and the owners who have not turned over are sitting on a double. Median time since the last arm’s-length purchase (a normal open-market sale, not a family or trust transfer) is 8.3 years across 281 dated parcels: 84 bought in the last five years, 69 in the five before that, and 91 held fifteen years or more, 73 of them past twenty, back to the build-out era. The 165 owners who bought before 2020 paid a median $862,000 for homes the county now values at a median $1.65M.
Leverage. 165 pre-2020 owners paid a median $862,000 against $1.65M on the roll today, and one in four has held past twenty years. If you own here, that gain sits on the public record and is room to be flexible on terms, most valuable when it is not needed; if you are buying, the next wave of supply comes from those legacy holds through estates and life changes, and 84 homes that traded in the last five years will not be back soon.

4. When does Quail Creek sell, who buys?

When Quail Creek actually closes, and who has been on the buying side of the deed, era by era.

When the community closes

Closings by month of recorded deed, all 842 qualified sales 1983 to 2026
What this means. Verdict: this market records its deals in late spring, a month later than the coast. Across the full deed record May is the heaviest month at 104 closings, with June at 91, March at 85 and April at 84, while January and November are the lightest at 49 each; February through May carries 40 percent of the year. Contracts signed in the winter land on the county record in those months, which is when a buyer here has the most company.
Leverage. 104 deeds recorded in May across the record versus 49 in January and November, more than double. If you are selling, the launch window that meets the most buyers opens around the holidays, because May closings trace back to February and March contracts; if you are buying, autumn is when the thin market is thinnest, and when patience negotiates best.

Who has been buying

Buyer profile on qualified deeds, by era
What this means. Verdict: the buyer at the closing table has changed shape, and stayed local. Trusts took 31 percent of the 70 qualified purchases from 2023 to 2026 (qualified meaning an ordinary open-market sale the county counts as a real transaction, not a transfer between family members or into a trust), up from 12 percent in the 2010s, and entities reached 9 percent for the first time. Out-of-state buyers rose to 18 percent during the 2020 to 2022 surge and have fallen back to 10 percent since, so nine in ten recent buyers arrived with a Florida address. The median purchase went from $929,000 in the 2010s to $1.6M in the surge to $2.6M since 2023.
Leverage. 31 percent of buyers since 2023 took title in a trust and 90 percent came from inside Florida. If you are selling, the person buying next door is structuring for a hold and already lives nearby, so a listing that reaches Naples households beats one aimed at a northern feeder market; if you are buying, you are competing with local move-up and estate-planning money that closes in the spring, so being ready in January beats bidding in April.

Quail Creek, on the record

Questions about the record

What this study is, where the numbers come from, and how to read them against your own home.

What is Quail Creek Intelligence?

A reading of Quail Creek's entire recorded deed history: every qualified, arm's-length sale on the six recorded Quail Creek plats behind the Valewood Drive gate from the 1983 sellout through deeds recorded 2026-08-03, 842 sales in all, joined to the Collier County tax roll for every one of the 295 residential parcels. It shows what the community has actually sold for by year, how often it trades, who owns it, how long they hold, and when it closes.

Where do the numbers come from?

Two public records and one MLS field: the Collier County Property Appraiser's certified tax roll (owner of record, mailing address, homestead status, assessed value, year built, lot size), its recorded sales file (every deed with a price, date and qualification code), and the MLS living area of each home, all floors, as the denominator for every price-per-square-foot figure. 764 of the 842 qualified sales matched an MLS record; the rest count in every price median and drop out of the per-foot line. No listing or asking-price data appears on the page.

What has Quail Creek sold for over the years?

Per square foot, the median ran $140 in 1997, $329 at the 2006 top and $187 at the 2012 bottom, a 43 percent decline, then sat between $200 and $260 until 2020. The surge took it to $365 in 2021, $541 in 2022 and $640 in 2023; it eased 17 percent to $533 in 2024, held at $538 in 2025 and reads $598 through July 2026 on 13 sales, seven percent under the top and 133 percent above 2020. By price, the median sale went from $225,000 in 1985 to $1.53M in 2006, $745,000 in 2012, $2.80M in 2023 and $2.78M through July 2026.

Does a newer house sell for more than an original one?

For more money, yes; for more per foot, no. Since January 2025, homes built in 1990 or later have sold for a median $3.03M on 20 sales and homes built in the 1980s for $2.34M on 16, but per foot the two are $573 and $562, a two percent difference. The premium is square footage: the newer house that traded had a median 4,925 square feet against 3,978 for the original. Only 11 of the 287 homes carry a structure built since 2015, so the newest stock is too thin to chart on its own. The county assigns 55 percent of assessed value to land, with a median land assessment of about $1.0M on a lot of 0.77 acres.

How often does Quail Creek trade?

Improved homes have traded 13 to 27 times a year since the community filled in: 27 in 2021, 24 in 2022, 16 and 17 in 2023 and 2024, and 24 in 2025, the busiest year since the surge, with 13 recorded through July 2026. Against 295 parcels that is about one home in twelve changing hands a year. Seventeen of the 23 improved sales in 2025 cleared $2M and nine cleared $3M; the top prints since January 2025 are $4.2M, $4.25M and $5.05M.

Who owns Quail Creek, and do they live there?

Individuals hold 64 percent of the 295 parcels, trusts 31 percent and entities 5 percent, and buyers since 2023 match that shape almost exactly at 60, 31 and 9 percent. It is a primary-home community: 72 percent of parcels carry a homestead exemption, nine in ten tax bills go to a Florida address, 13 percent of owners are absentee and only 23 parcels are mailed out of state, led by Wisconsin with five. Seven owners take their mail in Canada.

How long do owners hold, and what did they pay?

The median owner is 8.3 years past their last arm's-length purchase across 281 dated parcels; 84 bought in the last five years, 91 have held fifteen years or more and 73 of those past twenty. The 165 owners who bought before 2020 paid a median $862,000 for homes the county now values at a median $1.65M. Assessed values size the gain; they are not market values.

When does Quail Creek sell?

Late spring. Across all 842 qualified sales May is the heaviest month at 104 recorded closings, with June at 91, March at 85 and April at 84; January and November are the lightest at 49 each, and February through May carries 40 percent of the year. Trusts took 31 percent of purchases from 2023 to 2026, up from 12 percent in the 2010s, and nine in ten recent buyers arrived with a Florida address.

What happens when I book a private consult?

Thirty minutes with Brian Knox, on the phone or in person, putting your home or the one you are considering on the lines above: where it sits against the community's median, what the vintage premium and the land share mean for it, and what the record says about timing. No listing agreement, no obligation. Use the Book a private consult button below to pick a time.

Talk to the Knox Brothers

Sellers get a pricing read against the community’s own deed record. Buyers, and owners weighing a renovation, get the openings the record shows.

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The Knox Brothers · Compass · Naples, Florida
Sources: Collier County Property Appraiser tax roll and recorded deed records (public record; deeds recorded through 2026-08-03, recent months partial pending the county’s qualification coding). Prices are median recorded sale prices of qualified, arm’s-length sales of improved homes, with price-per-square-foot figures computed on MLS living areas joined deed-to-MLS by address (764 of 842 sales matched; unmatched sales count in every price median and drop out of the per-foot line). The community covers the six recorded Quail Creek plats (Units 1 to 4, Block Z, and the Block G replat) behind the Valewood Drive gate; Quail Creek Village, Quail Creek Plaza and Quail West are separate places and are not in it. Informational only, not an appraisal.
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